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US forces enter Iran by..?

December 3167%April 3056%March 31<1%March 70%January 31?0%March 30%March 10%March 140%February 280%
$85.4M vol9 markets
December 3167%
April 3056%

Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3140%June 307%April 302%March 31<1%
$112.1M vol4 markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom25%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%Jon Ossoff6%Kamala Harris4%Josh Shapiro4%Pete Buttigieg4%Andy Beshear3%James Talarico3%J.B. Pritzker2%Jon Stewart2%Mark Kelly2%Ro Khanna2%Gretchen Whitmer1%Ruben Gallego1%Wes Moore1%Michelle Obama1%Mark Cuban1%John Fetterman1%Stephen A. Smith1%Oprah Winfrey1%Cory Booker1%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%Rahm Emanuel1%Chelsea Clinton<1%Zohran Mamdani<1%Chris Murphy<1%Roy Cooper<1%Jared Polis<1%Hillary Clinton<1%Andrew Yang<1%LeBron James<1%George Clooney<1%Liz Cheney<1%MrBeast<1%Raphael Warnock<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Barack Obama<1%Hunter Biden<1%Gina Raimondo<1%Phil Murphy<1%Tim Walz<1%Jasmine Crockett<1%Bernie Sanders<1%Beto O’Rourke<1%
$960.9M vol44 markets

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

December 3174%June 3063%May 3156%April 3039%April 1519%April 79%March 150%March 60%March 310%March 20%
$78.7M vol10 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance37%Marco Rubio21%Tucker Carlson4%Ron DeSantis3%Donald Trump2%Glenn Youngkin2%Thomas Massie2%Donald Trump Jr.2%Rand Paul1%Vivek Ramaswamy1%Ivanka Trump1%Elon Musk1%Ted Cruz1%Tulsi Gabbard1%Greg Abbott1%Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%Nikki Haley<1%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%Brian Kemp<1%Matt Gaetz<1%Eric Trump<1%Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%Tom Brady<1%Steve Bannon<1%Josh Hawley<1%Kristi Noem<1%Joe Kent<1%Elise Stefanik<1%John Thune<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Pete Hegseth<1%Katie Britt<1%Erika Kirk<1%Byron Donalds<1%Mike Pence<1%
$505.6M vol35 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

4%
Yes
$18.0M vol1 market

Fed decision in April?

No change98%25 bps decrease<1%25+ bps increase<1%50+ bps decrease<1%
$44.3M vol4 markets

Sports

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain16%France13%England12%Argentina9%Brazil9%Portugal7%Germany5%Netherlands3%Norway3%Belgium2%Japan2%Colombia2%Morocco2%USA2%Uruguay1%Croatia1%Switzerland1%Mexico1%Ecuador<1%Sweden<1%Senegal<1%Turkiye<1%Canada<1%Austria<1%Ivory Coast<1%Paraguay<1%South Korea<1%Egypt<1%Bosnia-Herzegovina<1%Scotland<1%Australia<1%Tunisia<1%Saudi Arabia<1%Algeria<1%Ghana<1%Cezchia<1%Congo DR<1%Cape Verde<1%South Africa<1%Qatar<1%Panama<1%Haiti<1%Jordan<1%Iran<1%New Zealand<1%Uzbekistan<1%Curaçao<1%Iraq<1%Peru0%Italy0%
$461.0M vol50 markets

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder38%San Antonio Spurs17%Boston Celtics11%Denver Nuggets9%Cleveland Cavaliers5%Detroit Pistons4%New York Knicks4%Los Angeles Lakers4%Los Angeles Clippers2%Houston Rockets2%Minnesota Timberwolves2%Philadelphia 76ers<1%Charlotte Hornets<1%Atlanta Hawks<1%Miami Heat<1%Toronto Raptors<1%Phoenix Suns<1%Orlando Magic<1%Portland Trail Blazers<1%Golden State Warriors<1%Sacramento Kings0%Brooklyn Nets0%Chicago Bulls0%Utah Jazz0%New Orleans Pelicans0%Memphis Grizzlies0%Dallas Mavericks0%Milwaukee Bucks0%Indiana Pacers0%Washington Wizards0%
$217.0M vol30 markets

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell47%Kimi Antonelli32%Charles Leclerc5%Oscar Piastri4%Lewis Hamilton3%Max Verstappen2%Lando Norris2%Lance Stroll<1%Fernando Alonso<1%Sergio Pérez<1%Nico Hülkenberg<1%Gabriel Bortoleto<1%Esteban Ocon<1%Franco Colapinto<1%Isack Hadjar<1%Pierre Gasly<1%Oliver Bearman<1%Liam Lawson<1%Carlos Sainz Jr.<1%Alexander Albon<1%Valtteri Bottas<1%Arvid Lindblad<1%
$73.6M vol22 markets

NBA

NBA MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander80%Victor Wembanyama14%Luka Doncic5%Nikola Jokic2%Jaylen Brown<1%Anthony Davis<1%Joel Embiid<1%Ja Morant<1%Anthony Edwards<1%Trae Young<1%Giannis Antetokounmpo<1%Stephen Curry<1%Cade Cunningham<1%Kevin Durant<1%Donovan Mitchell<1%Devin Booker<1%Cooper Flagg<1%Kawhi Leonard<1%Tyrese Maxey<1%Jalen Brunson<1%Paolo Banchero<1%LeBron James<1%
$68.3M vol22 markets

NBA Rebounds Per Game Leader

Nikola Jokic98%Karl-Anthony Towns<1%Rudy Gobert<1%Kel'el Ware<1%Domantas Sabonis<1%Donovan Clingan<1%Josh Giddey<1%Victor Wembanyama<1%Alperen Sengun<1%Walker Kessler<1%Chet Holmgren<1%Isaiah Hartenstein<1%Jalen Johnson<1%Mitchell Robinson<1%Nikola Vucevic<1%Jalen Duren<1%Evan Mobley<1%LeBron James<1%Nic Claxton<1%Amen Thompson<1%Ivica Zubac<1%Josh Hart<1%Onyeka Okongwu<1%Yves Missi<1%Jarrett Allen<1%Giannis Antetokounmpo<1%Dereck Lively<1%Moussa Diabate<1%Jakob Poeltl<1%Luka Doncic<1%Deandre Ayton<1%Zach Edey<1%Neemias Queta<1%Bam Adebayo<1%Mark Williams<1%Joel Embiid<1%Anthony Davis<1%
$1.1M vol37 markets

Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,000100%↑ 70,000100%↓ 85,000100%↓ 65,000100%↓ 75,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 75,000100%↓ 55,00073%↑ 80,00062%↓ 50,00061%↓ 45,00046%↑ 90,00042%↓ 40,00035%↑ 100,00031%↓ 35,00027%↑ 110,00020%↓ 30,00017%↑ 120,00016%↑ 130,00014%↓ 25,00011%↑ 140,00011%↑ 150,00010%↓ 20,0009%↑ 160,0008%↓ 15,0007%↑ 180,0007%↑ 170,0007%↑ 200,0006%↑ 190,0006%↓ 10,0005%↑ 250,0004%↓ 5,0004%↑ 500,0002%↑ 1,000,0002%
$28.8M vol34 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

8%
Yes
$2.2M vol1 market

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$600M52%>$800M44%>$1B32%>$1.5B13%>$2B10%>$3B5%>$4B3%>$6B2%
$14.4M vol8 markets

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M94%$100M83%$200M62%$300M46%$400M36%$500M26%$600M21%$800M17%$1B13%$1.5B8%$2B5%
$3.1M vol11 markets

Tech

Largest Company end of April?

NVIDIA96%Apple2%Alphabet1%Saudi Aramco<1%Amazon<1%Microsoft<1%Tesla<1%
$1.3M vol7 markets

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Anthropic93%Google3%OpenAI2%xAI<1%DeepSeek<1%Meituan<1%Alibaba<1%Baidu<1%Moonshot<1%Z.ai<1%Amazon<1%Mistral<1%ByteDance<1%
$2.9M vol13 markets

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Other46%$X45%$STAR3%$SPAX2%$SEX2%$SPACE<1%$SX<1%$MARS<1%$SPC<1%
$4.2M vol9 markets

Claude 5 released by…?

June 30, 202656%May 31, 202645%April 30, 202639%December 31, 20250%March 31, 20260%February 60%February 28, 20260%March 15, 20260%February 14, 20260%
$3.0M vol9 markets

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA80%Apple11%Alphabet8%Saudi Aramco<1%Microsoft<1%Amazon<1%Tesla<1%
$3.7M vol7 markets

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%
Yes
$3.0M vol1 market

Culture

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar65%Viktor Orbán36%István Kapitány<1%László Toroczkai<1%János Lázár<1%Klára Dobrev<1%
$43.3M vol6 markets

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

December 3188%June 3074%May 1556%April 3044%April 1518%April 75%March 31<1%March 70%March 150%
$11.3M vol9 markets

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland36%France14%Denmark11%Australia7%Greece6%Israel4%Sweden3%Ukraine2%Italy2%Romania2%Czechia1%Cyprus1%Malta1%Bulgaria<1%Germany<1%United Kingdom<1%Switzerland<1%Croatia<1%Norway<1%Belgium<1%Moldova<1%Lithuania<1%Luxembourg<1%San Marino<1%Georgia<1%Poland<1%Austria<1%Armenia<1%Montenegro<1%Albania<1%Azerbaijan<1%Latvia<1%Serbia<1%Estonia<1%Portugal<1%
$55.7M vol35 markets

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

June 3081%April 3057%April 1527%April 713%March 20%March 70%March 150%March 10%March 310%
$10.3M vol9 markets